Machine learning approaches for estimating the strength performance of recycled aggregate concrete in rigid pavement systems.

Authors

  • Navin Kumar Gautam Department of Civil Engineering, Sandip University, Sijoul, Madhubani-847235, Bihar, India
  • Amrendra Kumar Department of Civil Engineering, Sandip University, Sijoul, Madhubani-847235, Bihar, India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21041/ra.v16i3.1025

Keywords:

recycled aggregate concrete, rigid pavement, compressive strength prediction, machine learning, lasso regression, sustainable pavement materials

Abstract

This study aims to develop a method for predicting the 28-day compressive strength of recycled aggregate concrete (RAC) for rigid pavement applications. A hybrid dataset of 385 observations, combining laboratory results and selected literature data, was used to develop and compare machine learning models. The models were assessed using five-fold cross-validation, error measures, bias analysis, multicollinearity assessment, and SHAP interpretation. Lasso Regression provided the best performance, with R² = 0.7713, MAE = 3.51 MPa, and RMSE = 4.47 MPa. The study is limited to five-fold cross-validation without independent external validation. Its originality lies in evaluating a pavement-oriented hybrid RAC dataset using predictive and interpretive analyses. The results show that regularized models can support preliminary RAC mix evaluation and material assessment.

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Published

2026-09-01

How to Cite

Kumar Gautam, N., & Kumar, A. (2026). Machine learning approaches for estimating the strength performance of recycled aggregate concrete in rigid pavement systems. Revista ALCONPAT, 16(3), 493–520. https://doi.org/10.21041/ra.v16i3.1025